Question: Why did Elon Musk just change his Twitter profile photo? I notice he’s now seeming to evoke James Bond or Dr. Evil:
I’m not certain, but I think I know the answer why. Read on…
“Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future.”
– Niels Bohr, winner of the 1922 Nobel Prize for Physics
“History will be kind to me for I intend to write it.”
– Winston Churchill
If you take those two quotations to heart, you might decide to forego the difficulty of predicting the future, instead aiming to bend the future’s story arc yourself. In a nutshell, that’s what R&D is all about: making the future.
Who makes the future for the intelligence community? Who has more influence on the future technologies which intelligence professionals will use: government R&D specialists, or private-sector industry?
On the one hand, commercial industry’s R&D efforts are pulled by billions of invisible consumer hands around the globe, driving rapid innovation and ensuring that bold bets can be rewarded in the marketplace. Recent examples are things like Web search, mobile phones and tablets, and SpaceX launches.
To be fair, though, the US IC and DoD have the ability to focus intently on specific needs, with billions of dollars if necessary, and to drive exotic game-changing R&D for esoteric mission use. During my time in government I saw great recent successes which are of course classified, but they exist.
If you want to explore both sides and you have a Top Secret clearance, you’re in luck, because you can attend what I expect will be an extraordinary gathering of Future-Makers from inside and outside the IC, at next month’s AFCEA Spring Intelligence Symposium.
Last fall, the organizing committee for this annual classified Symposium began our planning on topics and participants. We decided that this year’s overall theme had to be “IC Research & Development” – and we decided to depart from tradition and bring together an unprecedented array of senior leaders from inside and outside, to explore the path forward for IC innovation and change.
The May 20-21 Symposium, held at NGA’s Headquarters, will be a one-of-a-kind event designed to set the tone and agenda for billions of dollars in IC investment. On the government front, attendees will witness the roll-out of the new (classified) Science & Technology 2015-2019 Roadmap; see this article for some background on that. Attendees will also meet and hear R&D leaders from all major IC agencies, including:
- Dr. David Honey, Director of Science and Technology, ODNI
- Dr. Peter Highnam, Director, Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity (IARPA)
- Glenn Gaffney, Deputy Director for Science & Technology, CIA
- Stephanie O’Sullivan, Principal Deputy Director of National Intelligence
- Dr. Greg Treverton, Chairman, National Intelligence Council
- The IC’s functional managers for SIGINT, MASINT, GEOINT, HUMINT, OSINT, and Space
Meanwhile from the private sector, we’ll have:
- Elon Musk, CEO/CTO of SpaceX, CEO/Chief Product Architect of Tesla Motors, CEO of SolarCity, Co-founder of PayPal
- Gilman Louie, Partner at Alsop Louie Venture Capital, former CEO of In-Q-Tel
- Bill Kiczuk, Raytheon VP, CTO, and Senior Principal Engineering Fellow
- Zach Lemnios, IBM VP for Research Strategy and Worldwide Operations
- Pres Winter, Oracle VP, National Security Group
When I first proposed that we invite an array of “outside” future-makers to balance the government discussion with a different perspective, I said to my colleagues on the planning committee, “Wouldn’t it be awesome to get someone like Elon Musk…”
Well, we did, and next month I’ll be welcoming him on stage.
These are dark and challenging times in international security, but for scientists, technologists, and engineers, there’s never been a more exciting time – and like them, intelligence professionals should stretch their horizons.
I’m looking forward to the conference… and here’s your link to register to join us.
PS: Just to whet your appetite: new video of this week’s SpaceX revolutionary Falcon9 first-stage landing attempt on a drone barge at sea – nearly made it, very exciting: